Thursday 11 February 2021

53% YES IN LATEST POLLING ON INDEPENDENCE



















Support for Scottish independence was reported in the UK media as having taken a slight hit, with the majority of people still thinking Scotland should remove the Westminster government and become an independent country. 

Although, when the final outcome of poll results are identical to those of the last poll, with the UK media reporting the findings of the last poll with support for independence 1% lower than it actually was, if they were consistent with this narrative then support for independence has actually risen by a percentage point, from 52% Yes in the last poll, to 53% Yes now.


The poll carried out by the Savanta ComRes shows that 47 per cent of the people interviewed between February 4 and 9 said "Yes" when asked if Scotland should be independent, while 42 per cent opposed. The margin rose to 53 per cent to 47 per cent when undecided people were excluded.


It was the 21st poll in a row that shows majority support for independence, although the undecided percentage rose slightly, taking away from both confirmative outcomes compared to January. This coincides with a well publicised spat by two senior members of the pro independence movement, whose supporters have been crying out for them to stop it, although their cries appear to have fallen on deaf ears.


The poll also showed that the ruling Scottish National Party is on track to win the majority of seats in the upcoming parliamentary elections scheduled for May.


The leader of the Scottish Government, Nicola Sturgeon, has repeatedly pledged that she will push for another independence referendum if her party remains in power, either as a standalone majority government or if sharing power with another pro independence party, most likely the Greens.


UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson has argued, however, that pro independence leaders said the the 2014 referendum, when Scotland voted against independence by 55 per cent to 45 per cent, was a "once-in-a-generation vote," so he said he will not grant the people of Scotland his permission to hold another vote.


Ms Sturgeon argues that Brexit has materially changed the entire landscape, because pro Unionist politicians promised Scotland that the only way to secure their European citizenship was to vote No, which they did, before being forced to leave the EU despite an overwhelming majority of Scottish voters (62%) opting to remain within the bloc.

So it seems both sides are building their cases for and against another vote on the rhetotical flourishes and broken promises of one another. Though it appears that the pro independence side have morally the stronger argument, with the Westminster side appearing to have assumed legal clout on their side.





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